Polymarket Trader Turns 10K Into 1 Million and Sparks Google Insider Trading Rumors

A mystery trader on Polymarket, known as AlphaRaccoon, has become the center of a heated controversy after reportedly turning roughly $10,000 into more than $1 million in a single day by betting on Google-related markets. The profits came from dozens of contracts tied to Google’s 2025 Year in Search rankings, including obscure categories and names few expected to top the charts.

According to community discussions, Google briefly pushed the Year in Search results live before the official release, then quickly removed them. Around that time, AlphaRaccoon placed large, targeted bets across many hyper-specific markets, not just on the overall winner but also on which celebrities would appear in the top five.

The trader is said to have won 22 out of 23 bets. One of the most striking calls was a heavy “YES” position on singer d4vd at long-shot odds, just before the artist appeared high in the global rankings. The account also wagered close to $1 million that Bianca Censori would not rank #1 and won again.

This wasn’t the trader’s first big score on Google-linked markets. Months earlier, the same wallet reportedly earned about $150,000 by correctly predicting the exact launch date of Google’s Gemini 3.0 before any public confirmation. After accusations surfaced, AlphaRaccoon tried to change usernames, but the on-chain history remains visible under the handle @0xafEe as of December 5.

The episode has split the prediction market community. Supporters argue that if someone has better information, markets should reflect it – that is the core promise of prediction markets as information engines. Critics counter that when insiders can front-run outcomes, trust, fair odds, and retail participation are at risk. With Polymarket’s near-permissionless structure and imperfect resolution criteria, the debate over whether this is a powerful feature or a fatal flaw is only growing louder.